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By Dan Romito

California’s electrical grid, overseen by the California Independent System Operator (CAISO), exemplifies the broader challenges of the state’s overregulation, ineffective leadership, and poor execution. In contrast, Texas’ Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) demonstrates how a pragmatically regulated, free-market approach fosters innovation, lowers costs and accelerates grid updates.

Both California and Texas face significant challenges in meeting the growing electricity needs of their populations. A comparison of the states’ diverging strategies – one mandate-based, the other market-based – illustrates how an overzealous regulatory apparatus designed to drive clean energy transitions can preclude a state from realizing its potential.

The California model

CAISO operates under a burdensome labyrinth of hindering regulations that over-govern everything from project approvals to energy pricing structures. While promoted as a means to ensure environmental stewardship and consumer protection, these regulations often produce the opposite effect, delaying grid modernization and driving up costs that disproportionately impact those who can least afford it.  

Complex permitting processes and extensive bureaucratic oversight lead to delays in connecting new power generation and storage projects to the grid. For instance, CAISO’s interconnection queue exceeds 500 gigawatts, with renewable energy and storage projects waiting years for approval. Excessive regulation is stifling progress, even as California faces surging electricity demand.

CAISO’s struggles are compounded by policies that do not fully embrace free-market principles. The state’s regulatory framework frequently results in oversupply scenarios, where renewable energy producers are paid to curtail production during periods of low demand.

This inefficiency not only wastes resources but also raises costs for consumers. Meanwhile, the modernization of transmission infrastructure – a critical component for integrating renewable energy – faces significant delays due to onerous regulatory requirements.

The Texas model

ERCOT operates with minimal regulatory interference, allowing market forces to guide the development and operation of Texas’ grid. This market-driven approach promotes intense competition among energy providers, leading to greater efficiency, innovation, and a continual focus on affordability.  Texas's average retail electricity price is approximately 60% lower than California's. ERCOT’s emphasis on competition and pragmatic regulation also ensures that resources are deployed where they are most needed, streamlining the integration of new power generation and storage projects.

ERCOT’s independence from federal regulation further enhances its ability to adapt to changing energy demands.

Unlike CAISO, which must navigate state and federal mandates, ERCOT maintains control over its grid and policies. This autonomy enables Texas to respond quickly to market signals, accelerating grid modernization and expanding renewable capacity alongside its abundant natural gas resources. It also facilitates flexibility that focuses on best practices rather than falling prey to federal whims.

The priority: Intentions or results?

California’s strategy emphasizes renewable energy and battery storage, which aligns with its ambitious climate goals. However, the state’s regulatory environment and government incompetence hamper its ability to bring these projects online efficiently. These delays leave California vulnerable to reliability issues and higher electricity costs.

Texas leverages its natural gas resources to provide a stable energy foundation while aggressively expanding renewable energy capacity when and where it makes economic sense. The state’s competitive energy market has attracted significant investment in wind and solar power, allowing it to diversify its energy mix practically.  By balancing market incentives and energy independence, Texas is better positioned to meet its growing electricity demands while keeping costs low.

The comparison between CAISO and ERCOT underscores the depressing irony of California’s approach to grid modernization.  California hamstrings itself since its policy continually focuses on intentions instead of results.  The state’s regulatory framework creates barriers that delay progress and increase costs. With its market-driven model, Texas demonstrates that a more balanced approach can achieve reliability and innovation.

Ultimately, California’s tendency to overregulate undermines its clean energy goals and places unnecessary burdens on its residents, particularly lower- and middle-income families.

Addressing these issues will require policymakers to set aside their feelings, get out of their own way and prioritize competence ahead of idealistic fluff. A state’s regulatory structure must be developed in a manner that embraces basic market principles that promote efficiency and investment.

Only then can California achieve the grid modernization necessary to support its renewable energy ambitions and meet the growing demands of its population.

In the meantime, it will serve as a cautionary tale to other states considering how to develop policies that serve their residents’ interests. 

Dan Romito is managing director overseeing the Consulting & Advocacy practice at Pickering Energy Partners. He previously worked at Nasdaq, and his writing has been published in Harvard Business Review, Bloomberg and CNBC.

*The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of EnergyPlatform.News.